CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-01T01:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-01T01:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/33641/-1
CME Note: Faint CME first seen to the SE in STEREO A COR2 starting at 2024-10-01T01:09Z. Also seen to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2 for a few frames. The source of this CME is likely an M7.6 flare from AR 3842 (S18E30) that peaked at 2024-09-30T23:59Z. The flare and associated EUV wave are best seen in SDO AIA 193 starting at 2024-09-30T23:47Z and are followed by some dimming across the SE quadrant of the Earth-facing disk and some post eruptive arcades. No signature(s) of arrival in the solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-10-05T11:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 89.12 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-10-01T17:53Z
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